Topic category: Other/General
American Bastille Day
European politics and European government are not nearly as rigid as our constitutional system. As I predicted in articles almost one year ago, the accumulation of horrible electoral defeats in state elections in Germany insured that Gerhardt Schroeder would have to call elections by the contrivance of a phony vote of “no confidence,” with the result Angela Merkel would be the next Chancellor of Germany, a pro-American Christian Democrats Chancellor.
I also predicted that the corrupt Liberal Party of Canada could not hang on to power for more than a year after its last general election, and, indeed, it suffered a crushing defeat and Stephen Harper is now the Conservative Prime Minister of Canada. Not only did both predictions come true, but Merkel is the most popular Chancellor in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany and Harper has approval numbers which indicate that he may be able to call a general election in the next year or two and win an absolute majority.
Now, I have another prediction. Chirac, who the pundits tell us will be in office through early summer of next year, will be forced to resign and there will be a general election in France, as there was after the summer of discontent in 1968, and that the next President of France, who will take office around Bastille Day of this year, will be Nicholas Sarkozy, an avowed pro-American.
The riots of Moslem youths, seizing whole sections of France and burning cars, and the continued, subdued, corrosive public union and student riots against the tiniest changes in French employment law have combined to demonstrate that not only can Villepin, the head of government of France, cannot govern, but that more importantly Chirac, the head of state of France, one of the most powerful offices in any democracy on the planet, cannot govern.
Unlike most parliamentary democracies, in which the Prime Minister or Chancellor is the head of government and wields genuine power, which would allow intractable issues to be resolved by a general election of the national legislature (such as happened in Britain, Germany and Canada), when the Prime Minister is simply the hand puppet of the head of state, like in France, only the resignation of the President of France will allow the French people to unravel an increasingly impossible crisis.
So Chirac himself must leave, and soon, or the French Republic itself will be soon brought to the brink of collapse. While will the French turn to Sarkozy? For one thing, Chirac loathes him and almost all of France now loathes Chirac. A vote for Sarkozy will the closest a Frenchman can do to vote against Chirac.
Sarkozy came out of the Moslem riots and the current crisis looking much more effective than either the President of France or its Prime Minister. The French will be desperate for solution to its multiple crises and Sarkozy offers some genuinely new and nimble ideas. No one questions that Sarkozy is an incredibly active and effective politician, and he has the leverage to quickly take popular positions and become their champion.
He is rumored to have been one of the few in the Chirac government who did not oppose the Iraq War, and Sarkozy is unabashedly supportive of America and of conservative economic politics of American Republicans on issues like taxation and regulation.
What would his victory mean in July 2006? It would mean an instant and dramatic improvement in Franco-American relations. Moreover, because one quarter of the Canadian population is French, and improvement in Franco-American relations would make it much easier for Prime Minister Harper to improve Canadian-American relations more.
It would mean that the large eight-hundred pound gorilla of global worry, that the first Moslem nuclear power will be France because of militant Islamic control of French government would face active, clever resistance. Sarkozy, for example, favors ending French constitutional bans on government help to church (or mosque), which would allow the French government to begin to actively support assimilative, peaceful and tolerant mosques and clerics, as well as helping both Christian and Jewish communities in France.
It would mean that Europe and the world could look to France as beginning to contribute more to global wealth, which would have a significant positive effective on economic optimism in the Atlantic community and around the world. Real democracy in Syria and Lebanon would be vastly easier with genuine Franco-American collaboration. That means hope for Iraq and hope for President Bush heading into mid-term elections. Hope.
Biography - Bruce Walker
Bruce Walker has been a published author in print and in electronic media since 1990. He is a regular contributor to WebCommentary, Conservative Truth, American Daily, Enter Stage Right, Intellectual Conservative, NewsByUs and MenŐs News Daily. His first book, Sinisterism: Secular Religion of the Lie by Outskirts Press was published in January 2006.